CurriculumGrade 11Mathematics

Conditional Probability

Aligned to S-CP.B.6 — Common Core State Standards for Mathematics.

What this lesson teaches

The conditional probability P(A | B) is the chance of A given that B has happened. It equals the fraction of B's outcomes that are also in A, computed as P(A and B) divided by P(B).

Worked example

Draw one card from a deck. Find P(King | face card). There are 12 face cards, and all 4 kings are face cards. So among B's outcomes (the 12 face cards), 4 are kings: P(King | face card) = 4/12 = 1/3.

Practice questions

  1. Roll a die: find P(6 | the roll is even).
  2. Of 20 students, 8 play sports and 5 of those are seniors: find P(senior | plays sports).
  3. Explain in words what P(rain | cloudy) means.

Watch the lesson

Every lesson comes with a video taught in English and Spanish — the same video the QR code in the printed workbook opens.

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En español

Probabilidad Condicional

La probabilidad condicional P(A | B) es la posibilidad de A dado que B ya ocurrió. Es igual a la fracción de los resultados de B que también están en A, calculada como P(A y B) dividido entre P(B).

Ejemplo: Saca una carta de una baraja. Encuentra P(Rey | carta de figura). Hay 12 cartas de figura, y los 4 reyes son cartas de figura. Así que entre los resultados de B (las 12 cartas de figura), 4 son reyes: P(Rey | carta de figura) = 4/12 = 1/3.

More Statistics & Probability lessons

The Normal DistributionS-ID.A.4Inference from a Random SampleS-IC.A.1Comparing Two TreatmentsS-IC.B.5Events as Subsets of OutcomesS-CP.A.1

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